Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003050 0.003341 0.003652 0.004009 0.004408 0.004841 0.005347
2026-01-04 0.002574 0.002988 0.003460 0.004041 0.004742 0.005562 0.006604
2026-01-11 0.002256 0.002720 0.003274 0.003990 0.004898 0.006022 0.007535
2026-01-18 0.002033 0.002525 0.003135 0.003954 0.005037 0.006441 0.008426
2026-01-25 0.001851 0.002359 0.003005 0.003902 0.005133 0.006792 0.009243
2026-02-01 0.001726 0.002248 0.002933 0.003911 0.005299 0.007237 0.010223
2026-02-08 0.001599 0.002124 0.002828 0.003861 0.005370 0.007546 0.011025
2026-02-15 0.001482 0.002003 0.002716 0.003786 0.005392 0.007779 0.011726
2026-02-22 0.001409 0.001936 0.002673 0.003806 0.005551 0.008222 0.012797
2026-03-01 0.001366 0.001908 0.002682 0.003900 0.005826 0.008866 0.014261
2026-03-08 0.001285 0.001820 0.002596 0.003840 0.005854 0.009113 0.015074
2026-03-15 0.001206 0.001730 0.002501 0.003760 0.005838 0.009283 0.015764
2026-03-22 0.001140 0.001657 0.002432 0.003721 0.005898 0.009603 0.016800
2026-03-29 0.001095 0.001614 0.002406 0.003750 0.006078 0.010151 0.018345
2026-04-05 0.001036 0.001546 0.002337 0.003703 0.006119 0.010454 0.019447
2026-04-12 0.000986 0.001489 0.002280 0.003670 0.006180 0.010797 0.020673
2026-04-19 0.000937 0.001431 0.002217 0.003623 0.006210 0.011081 0.021810
2026-04-26 0.000903 0.001394 0.002188 0.003631 0.006342 0.011572 0.023458
2026-05-03 0.000861 0.001342 0.002131 0.003585 0.006367 0.011852 0.024673
2026-05-10 0.000818 0.001287 0.002064 0.003516 0.006342 0.012027 0.025668
2026-05-17 0.000793 0.001261 0.002045 0.003534 0.006487 0.012570 0.027616
2026-05-24 0.000781 0.001255 0.002062 0.003620 0.006776 0.013448 0.030527
2026-05-31 0.000747 0.001211 0.002008 0.003566 0.006772 0.013684 0.031838